This month we look at: lime prices, how the recently passed One Big Beautiful Bill may impact restaurants, how to lower your electric bills in the summer, inflation and national restaurant sales trends from June.
July started off with a bang, and no, I don't just mean the fireworks from the Fourth of July. With the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed into law, there are quite a few changes our industry can expect in the coming months and years (more on that below!), but that's not the only big industry news since I last visited your inbox.
Season four of The Bear premiered on Hulu and FX, signaling the reemergence of a time-honored industry debate: should they have stopped while they were ahead at the end of season two? As a die-hard Matty Matheson and Jamie Lee-Curtis/DD Berzatto fan, my stance is no, but it's a hot topic nonetheless.
Speaking of hot, this month's Board edition has some tips on how to reduce your electricity bill in the summer and which summer citrus staple has seen a price drop over the last few months, so scroll down to read more. And if you need a laugh (who doesn't?), we've got you covered there, too, in our What We're Laughing At section below.
Wishing you all a profitable July and we'll see you in August!
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- Rachel & the MarginEdge team
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The trailing 4-week (28-day) average of year-over-year (YOY) sales for Fast Casual came in at +1.72% and Full Service at -0.46% at the end of June compared to 2024 sales.
Food costs averaged 28% of sales last month, reflecting a 1% increase from May's average.
Limes have been on a steady price decline over recent weeks, which may come as a surprise given that 80-85% of limes imported to the US come from Mexico. That is, until recent weeks.
Compared to the first week of May 2025, MarginEdge clients saw a roughly -29% median price drop on limes.
Between January and May 2025, Peru stepped up its exports by 50% from the previous year. The influx, paired with a lower 10% tariff rate, helped increase supply in the US market and lower prices for consumers. Mexican growers also noted that larger limes should be available in the coming weeks as long as their recent rainy weather continues. They expect prices to stay low into August, so keep the margaritas flowing (not that we needed encouragement!).
Cranes | Washington, D.C.
Earlier this month, the OBBB was passed, making some key impacts on US financial policy over the next few years. Keeping up with the latest tax law changes is a must for restaurants looking to save smart and stay compliant, and these updates can mean new opportunities or tweaks to your current strategies. Here’s a quick breakdown of what’s changing for individuals and restaurant operators, courtesy of our friends at Harmony CPA and the NRA. Check out their full blog and be sure to sign up for their newsletter here to stay up to date!
13 key impacts on restaurant operators from the One Big Beautiful Bill:
As always, it's worth it to speak with a restaurant accounting and tax professional about how these changes impact your income, your business and how you can optimize your finances when tax season rolls around every year.
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Copper Shark | Baltimore, MD
The June 2025 Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is in, and indicates the following month-over-month changes in food inflation:
Full Service Meals: Up 0.5% from May, and by 4.0% YOY.
Overall, inflation came in at 0.3% up from May, putting year-over-year inflation at 2.7%, a 0.3% increase from last month's YOY. Economists noted the increase was likely from tariffs, as imported goods saw the biggest price increases. Overall, they are not confident about an interest rate decrease coming anytime before September, with many tariff policies still up in the air, leaving much unknown.
Tl;dr - Tariffs are starting to impact inflation, and all food categories increased similarly last month.
Luna's Tacos & Tequila | Windsor, CO
The only place hotter than a shadeless sidewalk on a mid-July day is a restaurant kitchen, and keeping your team and guests cool can start to melt away your seasonal profits if you're not on top of it. Here are some sustainable ways restaurant operators can lower electricity bills during the summer months:
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